суббота, 16 июня 2012 г.

Why to Greeks Apocalypse?

Financial crisis in the European Union, apparently, will soon develop into crisis of relationship.
Such conclusions involuntarily come to mind when you read a tape of world news. So, one of these days Greece riveted again attention of all planet on the modest person: the authorities of the country decided to hold a referendum during which should be made the decision – to accept or not to accept the anti-recessionary help from European Union member countries.

Let's remind, a week ago at EU summit in Brussels the European leaders in a course more than ten-hour meeting developed the plan of rescue of Greece from a default. In particular, it was offered to write off 50 % of debts or 100 billion euro at the expense of banks and other private creditors. Besides, there was a speech about increase in the second program of the help of Greece in the sum with 100 to 130 billion euro.

As a whole, many politicians and experts apprehended these anti-recessionary mechanisms positively, having called these decisions essential break in fight against the European crisis. So, the prime minister of Greece Yorgos Papandreou noted that the state managed to avoid the worst scenario of succession of events. «We have a possibility to settle a score past. From the Greek people at last remove cargo and transfer it on banks», - the prime minister noted.

However, apparently, reaction of the Greek authorities appeared only temporary mask, after all already literally in couple of days after the Bruxelles arrangements of Athena struck pose and declared convocation of a national referendum. What forced Greeks, roughly speaking, to rear?

Everything is simple: in a barrel of honey of anti-recessionary offers for Greece the European leaders added also an essential spoon of tar in the form of introduction of control over the implementation of the budgetary program of the country for the purpose of ensuring the correct use of the new credits with them. In other words, though EU also threw to Greeks rolling in debts a saving financial circle, Europe decided to provide to the country and "navigator" who not only wouldn't allow to spend money in vain, but also would conduct the Greek ship on accurately set anti-recessionary way.

Such plan of rescue suited to Greeks obviously not to taste, after all control strengthening over the country from EU actually would turn Greece into the semi-dependent state. Here Hellas also decided to use force of a national voice in fight for the freedoms. In principle, it is possible to understand the point of view of Greeks.

However there is one essential "but". Economic instability of Greece can lead to the second wave of world financial crisis. Therefore taking into account so high risks Greeks also could bite tongue. After all, посудите who is guilty in deepening of debt crisis of Eurozone? In many respects, Greece, is more true – its indiscipline.
The fact which some time ago shocked political elite of Europe can become confirmation to that. It is a question of scandalous jugglings Greeks of financial reports касаемо states of the economy of the country. In other words, what turns out? Eurozone and IMF fondly helped money to poor Greeks, and those, in turn, quietly lived at the expense of external loans, not especially aspiring to carry out recommendations of creditors касаемо a country conclusion from crisis. In this light the decision of the European politicians on control strengthening over improvement of the Greek economy is absolutely logical.

In the light of the difficult relations of EU and Greece the new heat which poured out in the statement for carrying out by Greeks of a national referendum, - already surprises nobody. However, as for a long time it is clear, ellinets – the people cunning. Respectively, they also "swagger" with an ulterior motive. There is an opinion: by means of a referendum and other mechanisms Greeks want to bargain. They pursue what purposes as a result? The first: EU should give carte blanche to the country. The second: big privileges, for example, in the form of write-off of 100 % of debts should be provided to Greeks.

And why also isn't present? Taking into account that today the external debt of Greece makes about 350 billion euro, - it is clear that on accounts it would be desirable to pay not especially. By the way, if this fabulous sum to divide into all citizens of Greece (the population – about 11 million people), it will turn out that each of them – from the baby to the old man – owes about 31 thousand euros. Here also leaves, each citizen of Greece is terribly interested in release from a debt yoke.

What to tell? In the desires and inability to distinguish a reality from a fantasy, the Greek authorities, apparently, went too far. Already today the initiative of Greeks concerning carrying out a national referendum brought into shock not only the European politicians, but also world economists. After all if Greece refuses the anti-recessionary plan which developed EU for it, such step a priori can bring in a default not only this country. On a domino effect Italy and Spain can fall down in an abyss of crisis and other problem economy of Eurozone, first of all. Also that then? The European Union hardly will bear so powerful blow on the - relative - stability. Whether France and Germany can with financial support of IMF and such countries, such as, China to prevent the beginning of the second wave of world financial crisis? Not fact. And it can quite become the beginning of the European economic apocalypse.

About that self-admiration of Greeks can cost much to the whole world, says, for example, that fact that the euro exchange rate already devaluates, and stock markets of the same of the USA already seriously gave. And it only the first reaction of world economy to the statement of Greeks about carrying out a national referendum. And for that to wait, if Greece really refuses the European plan of rescue? Even it is terribly to present. As though as a result it was not necessary to give up as a bad job the idea of expediency of existence of the European Union …
However hardly leaders of EU will allow Greeks to realize such scenario of succession of events. It is thought, patience of the European politicians already on an outcome. Therefore their reaction to threats from Greece for certain won't keep itself waiting long. As possibility to discuss the arisen problems at heads of states of EU will appear soon at the summit of the Big twenty.

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